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Division of Aging and DHHS Divisions
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This
column appears in the June 2005 edition of Aging Arkansas,
The United States Government Accountability Office (GAO), commonly called the investigative arm of Congress or the congressional watchdog. It is independent and nonpartisan. Among other things GAO advises Congress and the heads of executive agencies about ways to make government more effective and responsive. GAO was asked to discuss the budgetary and other challenges resulting from the anticipated increase in demand for long-term care services. Kathryn Allen, Director of Health Care—Medicaid and Private Health Insurance Issues testified that: “In general, the aging of the baby boom generation will lead to a sharp growth in federal entitlement spending that, absent meaningful reforms, will represent an unsustainable burden on future generations. As the estimated 76 million baby boomers born between 1946 and 1964 become elderly, Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security will nearly double as a share of the economy by 2035. We have been able to sustain these entitlements in the past with low depression-era birth rates and a large postwar workforce. However, absent substantive reform of entitlement programs, a rapid escalation of federal spending for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid is virtually certain to overwhelm the rest of the federal budget.” If substantive reform is to take place, Ms. Allen out lined several issues Congress should consider when addressing long-term care financing reforms.: Determining societal responsibilities. A fundamental question is how much the choices of how long-term care needs are met should depend upon an individual’s own resources or whether society should supplement those resources to broaden the range of choices. For a person without a disability requiring long-term care, where to live and what activities to pursue are lifestyle choices based on individual preferences and resources. However, for someone with a disability, those lifestyle choices affect the costs of long-term care services. The individual’s own resources—including financial resources and the availability of family or other informal supports—may not be sufficient to preserve some of their choices and also obtain needed long-term care services. Societal responsibilities may include maintaining a safety net to meet individual needs for assistance. However, the safety net may not provide a full range of choices in how those needs are met. Persons who require assistance multiple times a day and lack family members to provide some share of this assistance may not be able to have their needs met in their own homes. The costs of meeting such extensive needs may mean that sufficient public support is available only in settings such as assisted living facilities or nursing homes. More extensive public support may be extended, but decisions to do so should carefully consider affordability in the context of competing demands for our nation’s resources. Considering the potential role of social insurance in financing. Government’s role in many situations has extended beyond providing a safety net. Sometimes this extended government role has been a result of efficiencies in having government undertake a function, or in other cases this role has been a policy choice. Some proposals have recommended either voluntary or mandatory social insurance to provide long-term care assistance to broad groups of beneficiaries. In evaluating such proposals, careful attention needs to be paid to the limitations and conditions under which services will be provided. In addition, who will be eligible and how such a program will be financed are critical choices. As in establishing a safety net, it is imperative that any option under consideration be thoroughly assessed for its affordability over the longer term. Encouraging personal preparedness. Becoming disabled is a risk. Not everyone will experience disability during his or her lifetime and even fewer persons will experience a severe disability requiring extensive assistance. This is the classic situation in which having insurance to provide additional resources to deal with a possible disability may be better than relying on personally saving for an event that may never occur. Insurance allows both persons who eventually will become disabled and those who will not to use more of their economic resources during their lifetime and to avoid having to put those resources aside for the possibility that they may become disabled. The public sector has at least two important potential roles in encouraging personal preparedness. One is to adequately educate people about the current divisions between personal and societal responsibilities. Only if the limits of public support are clear will individuals be likely to take steps to prepare for a possible disability. Currently, one of the factors contributing to the lack of preparation for long-term care among the elderly is a widespread misunderstanding about what services Medicare will cover. Another public sector role may be to assure the availability of sound private long-term care insurance policies and possibly to create incentives for their purchase. Progress has been made in improving the value of insurance policies through state insurance regulation and through strengthening the requirements for policies qualifying for favorable tax treatment enacted by the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996. Furthermore, since 2002 the federal government has offered long-term care insurance to federal employees, military personnel, retirees, and their families, providing the largest offering of long-term care insurance. While the federal government’s program is still very new, other employers and policymakers will likely be carefully watching the federal government’s experience in offering long-term care insurance. Long-term care insurance remains an evolving product, and given the flux in how long-term care services are delivered, it is important to monitor whether long-term care insurance regulations need adjustments to ensure that consumers receive fair value for their premium dollars. • Recognizing the benefits, burdens, and costs of informal caregiving. Family and other informal caregivers play a critical role in supplying the bulk of long-term care to disabled persons. Effective policy must create incentives and supports for enabling informal caregivers to continue providing assistance. Further, care should be taken to avoid creating incentives that result in informal care being inappropriately supplanted by formal paid services. At the same time, it is important to recognize the physical, emotional, and social burdens that providing care impose on the caregiver and its economic costs to the caregiver and to society. Caregiving may create needs in caregivers themselves that require respite or other relief services. In addition, caregiving can conflict with caregivers’ employment, creating economic losses for caregivers and society. Such losses in productivity will become even more important in the coming decades as the proportion of the population that is working-age declines. • Assessing the balance of federal and state responsibilities to ensure adequate and equitable satisfaction of needs. Reforms in long-term care financing may require reevaluating the traditional federal and state financing roles to better ensure an equitable distribution of public support for individuals with disabilities. The variation across states in Medicaid spending per capita on long-term care is in part reflective of differences among states in generosity of services as well as their fiscal capacity. Given these differences, having states assume primary responsibility for financing long-term care subjects individuals to different levels of support depending on where they live. In addition, because state revenues are sensitive to the business cycle and states generally must have balanced budgets, their services become vulnerable during economic downturns. • Adopting effective and efficient implementation and administration of reforms. Proposed reforms to better meet the increasing demand for long-term care within budget constraints will be successful only if they are administratively feasible, effectively reach targeted populations and unmet needs, and efficiently provide needed services at minimum cost while complementing already available services and financing sources. • Developing financially sustainable public commitments. Finally, as noted earlier, absent reform, existing federal entitlement commitments for Medicaid, Medicare, and Social Security will represent an increasing and potentially unsustainable share of the economy. States, too, are concerned about their budgetary commitments for long-term care through their share of the Medicaid program. Before committing to any additional public role in financing long-term care, it is imperative to provide reasonable assurance that revenues will be available to fund its future costs. Before Congress arbitrarily starts cutting billions of dollars from Medicaid, let's hope they think about these issues.
Division of Aging and Adult Services
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